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Oil Consumption
By the middle of this decade, we were consuming around 85 million
barrels of crude oil per day. Records inform us that we had already extracted
and burnt more than 900 billion barrels by 2003. The average estimate
of our planet's total endowment of extractable oil reserves is around
2,000 billion. So, we have successfully removed about half of the reserves,
laid down over the last billion years.
Peak Oil
When global oil demand exceeds supply for more than a few weeks, economies
across the world see the price of oil soar. If indeed the oil industry's
combined outputs are beginning to top out, increasing evidence that the
point of 'Peak Oil' is nigh, is likely to cause immediate and unprecedented
havoc across the world. We know what happens when oil supplies become
insecure for a matter of weeks, one can only speculate on the multitudinous
effects that a perpetual situation of declining global oil supply will
engender. Power outages and fuel rationing will hinder the provision of
basic services and supplies that most have become accustomed to, and without
technological, political and social solutions to the new challenges, civil
unrest will be inevitable.
Blind Politics
Developing renewables to the level that can compensate for the
exhausted oil supplies is a massive global project that has suffered political
delays for several decades. Few of our leaders charged with strategic
planning have accepted that oil replacement is the most important issue
they will ever have to consider in their lifetime.
In November 2005, The International Energy Agency issued a warning that
17 trillion dollars of investment is needed immediately, not to fast-track
the development and deployment of renewables, but to try and extract the
remaining oil stocks out of the ground even quicker than we are presently
managing.
Most political groups holding power over the world today still consider
investing in nuclear and conventional weapons of war as offering better
value than investing in a long-term carbon neutral society. History can
only record the blindness of previous leaders for future generations;
it sadly can't protect us from the legacy of their deeds.
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